🧠 Anthropic in Talks for $40B Valuation; 🚢 Autonomous Uncrewed Surface Vessels; 🌀 Millions Invested in Rare Earth Recycling; 🤖 AI Robotics Simulation Breakthrough; 🌟 Glass Quantum Photonic Chips
An insider’s update on Deep Tech Ventures: Your dose of tech innovations, startups, exponential industries, policies, and market moves to stay ahead and capitalize on it.
Welcome to Deep Tech Briefing!
Like every Sunday, we unpack five facts that got us excited, thinking, or showed off the massive strides happening in the deep tech scene.
From breakthrough technologies and influential startups to major capital moves or new partnerships, we strive to keep you curious and stay ahead, competitive, and ready to seize new opportunities—and why not, give you some food for thought for interesting conversations (we do it too :))
Subscribe for free to get it straight to your inbox every Sunday, and read it whenever you like!
In today’s edition
Anthropic Eyes $40 Billion Valuation in Funding Talks
Autonomous vessels powered by AI offer a new frontier in maritime
Millions flow into rare earth recycling to secure future tech supply
AI-driven robotics simulation technology speeds up industrial automation
Quantum photonic chips on glass push the boundaries of computing.
🧠 Anthropic Eyes $40 Billion Valuation in Funding Talks: Weighing the Value of Ethics in the AI Industry
Anthropic’s latest valuation discussions have sent ripples through the tech industry. With a piece this Monday on The Information suggesting that the AI startup "has started talking to investors about raising capital in a deal that could value the startup at $30 billion to $40 billion," the stakes for the artificial intelligence ecosystem are higher than ever. As the AI arms race intensifies, what does this signal for the future of tech giants, the startups vying for attention, and the broader market grappling with these eye-popping valuations?
Anthropic's rapid ascent is not surprising given its pedigree. Founded by former OpenAI executives, the company positions itself as an ethical alternative to more commercialized players in the space. Their emphasis on safety, transparency, and aligning AI systems with human values taps into an undercurrent of concern within both the tech community and society at large: how do we develop AI systems that enhance human welfare without causing inadvertent harm? In a way, Anthropic is positioning itself as a counterweight to the broader fears of unchecked AI progress, a company that blends ambitious technological growth with responsible development practices.
The valuation that Anthropic is reportedly exploring is jaw-dropping, especially when compared to more established players in the tech and AI sectors. Just a few years ago, valuations of this magnitude were reserved for firms with substantial revenue streams and well-established business models. Anthropic, by contrast, remains a relatively new player, albeit one with strong momentum and deep-pocketed backers like Google and, more recently, Amazon.
The proposed $40 billion valuation, if realized, would place Anthropic among the highest-valued AI startups globally. This raises an important question: is Anthropic’s perceived value based on its technological promise, its ethical stance, or the mere fact that the race for AI dominance is so hot that also emerging companies can command such eye-watering figures?
Surely, investment in AI safety is not only a moral imperative but also a strategic one. As governments and regulatory bodies begin to impose stricter guidelines on AI implementation, companies that have already integrated ethical considerations into their development processes could have a competitive advantage. Therefore, the high valuation could be seen as a bet on the company's future compliance and alignment with emerging regulatory frameworks.
In any case, with a great valuation come great expectations. Anthropic's high morality and focus on safe AI development will likely face the classic tension between profitability and ethics. Investors putting money into AI expect not only groundbreaking technology but also returns. If Anthropic expands its operations while maintaining its ethical integrity, it could become a model for how to run a responsible AI business. But if it faces pressure to prioritize rapid growth over safety, it could undermine its core mission.
The world of artificial intelligence has always been a realm of rapid innovation and exponential growth. Its applications range from healthcare diagnostics to autonomous vehicles, from personalized marketing to complex data analysis, to defense.
The allure for investors is clear: artificial intelligence has the potential to redefine industries, create new markets, and generate unprecedented economic value, and the high valuations reflect this optimism. However, they also raise questions about market exuberance. Do these figures reflect intrinsic value, or are they symptomatic of a bubble fueled by hype and speculation? The tech industry has witnessed similar scenarios in the past, where inflated valuations were followed by market corrections. We'll see...
In the end, the true measure of success for any deep tech company, and AI in this case, will not be its valuation but the positive impact it has on the world. By focusing on innovation, ethics, and collaborative progress, we can harness the full potential of artificial intelligence to tackle some of the most urgent challenges of our time.
🚢 End-to-End Maritime Autonomy Solutions Company Set to Revolutionize Autonomous Uncrewed Surface Vessel Operations
Autonomous surface vessels (USVs) are poised to be transformative in sectors ranging from defense to environmental monitoring, representing a shift from traditional, manned maritime operations that are often costly and logistically challenging. In environments where the stakes are high, such as naval missions or offshore energy exploration, the need for continuous, risk-free operations becomes crucial. USVs meet this need by facilitating operations in remote or hostile regions, significantly reducing both the financial and human costs involved.
Recent initiatives like the U.S. Navy's Replicator program and the Chief of Naval Operations' Project 33 underscore the increasing reliance on autonomous systems for critical future missions. The broader maritime industry, which plays a vital role in global commerce, is also on the cusp of a major shift with the adoption of autonomous technologies. Given that human error contributes to approximately 75% of maritime accidents, leading to substantial financial losses each year, the integration of autonomous systems could greatly enhance safety and operational efficiency.
However, the current generation of USVs is not without challenges. Many are prohibitively expensive and depend on complex infrastructures for deployment. Scalability poses another significant issue, as existing systems often struggle to manage large fleets from a single control station. Moreover, the landscape of technology providers is fragmented; hardware, software, and control systems frequently come from different sources, complicating integration efforts and raising costs and malfunction risks.
In this landscape, HavocAI has garnered attention with an $11 million seed funding round, led by Scout Ventures, co-led by Trousdale Ventures, and saw additional participation from Outlander VC, The Veteran Fund, BV.VC, Decisive Point, Alumni Ventures, and New North Ventures. The company is developing a platform that allows a single operator to manage thousands of USVs.
This system integrates advanced AI and deep learning models trained on historical maritime data, enabling vessels to carry out tasks such as collision avoidance, route optimization, and real-time decision-making with minimal human intervention. Unlike systems focused on partial automation, HavocAI aims for full autonomy, allowing for continuous operations with reduced downtime. The ability to seamlessly integrate multiple data streams is a key feature for the future of USVs in both commercial and defense applications.
Moreover, HavocAI addresses the cybersecurity concerns that come with autonomous systems. Given the reliance on satellite communications and cloud-based data exchange, USVs are especially vulnerable to cyberattacks. To counter this, the company employs encryption and intrusion detection systems to safeguard the command and control mechanisms of these vessels—critical for maintaining operational security in high-risk scenarios.
While the adoption of autonomous ships promises significant benefits, regulatory challenges persist. Current maritime laws are largely designed for manned vessels, leaving autonomous ships in a regulatory gray area. International bodies like the International Maritime Organization (IMO) are developing new regulations, but the long-term governance of these technologies remains uncertain. Despite these challenges, the market for autonomous vessels is expected to grow rapidly, potentially reaching $12.25 billion by 2032, driven by the demand for more efficient, sustainable maritime solutions and expanding military applications.
Innovations in artificial intelligence, the Internet of Things (IoT), and sensor integration continue to reshape the maritime industry's competitive landscape. For instance, Avikus, a subsidiary of HD Hyundai, has recently equipped LNG carriers with its HiNAS 2.0 autonomous navigation system, indicating a growing interest in commercial USV applications. Additionally, Fugro's development of the Blue Prism USV for automated offshore exploration underscores the ongoing evolution toward sustainable and autonomous maritime operations.
🌀 Rare Earth Elements (REEs) from End-of-Life Electric Feedstock: Millions in Investment Driving a Global Rare Earth Recycling Infrastructure
Rare earth elements (REEs) are the lifeblood of modern technology, powering everything from electric vehicles and wind turbines to smartphones and advanced electronics. As the world accelerates its shift to clean energy and electrification, the demand for these critical materials is growing at an unprecedented rate. Yet the current supply chain for REEs is fraught with challenges—geopolitical risks, environmental concerns, and inefficiencies in traditional mining—that place pressure on industries reliant on these materials.
REEs play a central role in the technologies driving global decarbonization. High-performance magnets used in electric motors and renewable energy systems, such as wind turbines, are essential for reaching carbon neutrality targets. However, mining for these materials is environmentally damaging and energy-intensive, generating toxic waste. Adding to the complexity, rare earth deposits are concentrated in a few regions, creating vulnerability to supply chain disruptions and price fluctuations. With global demand expected to triple by 2030, relying solely on mining is not only unsustainable but also strategically risky.
In this context, rare earth recycling emerges as a vital solution, offering both environmental benefits and market opportunities. This week, a Canadian company, Cyclic Materials, closed an oversubscribed Series B funding round of $53 million, led by ArcTern Ventures, with participation from major corporate investors such as Microsoft’s Climate Innovation Fund, Hitachi Ventures, and BMW i Ventures.
This fresh injection of capital will allow Cyclic Materials to scale its global recycling infrastructure, with plans to expand into key markets across Europe, North America, and Asia
CEO Roberts emphasized the strategic significance of the investment, stating, “This funding will enable us to build the facilities needed to meet the world’s growing demand for sustainable rare earths.”
Cyclic Materials has developed two innovative processes—Mag-Cycle™ and REEPure™—designed to efficiently extract rare earth elements from end-of-life electric waste, such as electric motors and wind turbines.
Mag-Cycle™ is dedicated to recovering rare earth magnets, which contain valuable elements like neodymium, praseodymium, and dysprosium, from discarded electric feedstock. These magnets are then processed into mixed rare earth oxides (MREO), critical for high-tech applications, particularly in green energy technologies.
Once these materials are recovered, they undergo the REEPure™ process, a hydrometallurgical refinement stage that employs advanced chemical separation techniques. The result is high-purity rare earth oxides that can be used directly in the production of new magnets and alloys. This closed-loop system significantly reduces energy consumption and environmental impact, providing a scalable and sustainable alternative to traditional mining and smelting processes.
The potential for rare earth recycling to transform the market is immense, but its long-term success will depend on the development of global standards for the collection and processing of end-of-life products containing REEs. Currently, less than 1% of rare earth materials are recycled worldwide—a figure that highlights both the vast opportunity ahead and the scale of the challenge. Policymakers will play a critical role in creating regulatory frameworks that encourage participation in recycling initiatives while ensuring the infrastructure can scale to meet global demand.
As the electric vehicle market is projected to reach 31 million units annually by 2030, and wind energy capacity continues its rapid growth, the demand for REEs will only intensify. Industry analysts suggest that recycling could reduce reliance on traditional mining by up to 50%, helping to stabilize prices and secure supply while minimizing the environmental impact of the supply chain. In an era of tightening environmental regulations and growing corporate commitments to sustainability, the ability to sustainably source REEs will be key for industries looking to safeguard their future growth.
🤖 Former Nvidia Duo Leads Breakthrough in AI-Powered Robotics Simulation
Developing AI with human-like versatility remains one of the greatest technological challenges of the 21st century. Across sectors like logistics and healthcare, robotics is reshaping industries by enhancing productivity, streamlining operations, and significantly reducing costs. Valued at $67.9 billion in 2023, the global robotics market is projected to more than double by 2030.
However, one of the major hurdles companies face is the ability to train and deploy robotic systems efficiently and affordably. Traditional approaches, which rely on physical environments, are slow, expensive, and difficult to scale. Current simulation tools often require a trade-off between speed and accuracy, leaving robots inadequately prepared for real-world deployment. The challenge of simulating intricate environments with thousands of moving components continues to limit the broader adoption of robotics across various industries.
To unlock the full potential of robotics, businesses need advanced simulation technologies that combine both speed and precision. These tools allow AI-powered robots to be trained in repeatable, controlled environments, significantly reducing the time and expense associated with physical testing. Simulations offer a faster, more scalable method for training, positioning companies to embrace large-scale automation more effectively.
A pioneering example of this next-generation technology is VSim, a UK-based startup founded by an ex-Nvidia duo, which has recently raised $21.5 million in a seed round led by EQT Ventures with participation from Factorial Fund, Samsung Next, Tru Arrow, Xora (a fully owned subsidiary of Temasek), IQ Capital, Koro Capital, Concept Ventures, Lakestar Scout Fund, and Carles Reina. VSim is at the forefront of a simulation revolution, accelerating robotic training by up to 100 times compared to conventional tools. Their platform excels at simulating complex tasks with unparalleled speed and accuracy, powered by cutting-edge machine learning frameworks and advanced multi-core processing hardware, enabling real-time simulations of environments with thousands of dynamic elements.
A standout feature of VSim’s platform is its state-of-the-art ray-tracing camera system, capable of processing up to one million frames per second. This provides incredibly detailed visual data, essential for tasks requiring fine precision, such as object manipulation or navigating complex spaces. Integrated with VLearn, a reinforcement learning framework, VSim enables robots to autonomously learn from their surroundings, drastically reducing development time and costs.
The impact of VSim’s technology is especially profound in industries that demand detailed visual learning. Thanks to the platform’s remarkable ray-tracing capability, robots can master intricate tasks with unmatched accuracy and ease.
Industry leaders like ABB, Yaskawa, and FANUC are making significant investments in AI-driven robotic systems to enhance their operations in key sectors such as logistics and manufacturing. FANUC’s $110 million commitment to North American robotics underscores the increasing demand for automation solutions. As robotics technology continues to evolve, these innovations are set to transform industries, driving faster, more precise, and cost-efficient automation on an unprecedented scale. This new wave of advancements promises to unlock the full potential of robotics, shaping the future of how businesses operate and compete in the global market.
🌟 Glass-Based Quantum Photonic Chips: A Seed for the World’s First Facility Dedicated to Their Design and Production
The semiconductor industry is facing increasing global pressure, as the COVID-19 pandemic revealed significant vulnerabilities in the supply chain, leading to delays, shortages, and escalating production costs. Despite the gradual recovery, the chip shortage persists, affecting a wide range of industries from automotive to consumer electronics. According to McKinsey, demand for semiconductors is expected to grow at an annual rate of 9% through 2030, yet current production capacity is struggling to meet this demand, resulting in a widening gap between supply and demand.
This gap is further amplified by ongoing geopolitical tensions and trade disputes, alongside a global drive for greater technological sovereignty. In response, governments are making substantial investments in domestic production capabilities. For example, the European Chips Act aims to increase Europe’s share of global semiconductor manufacturing to 20% by 2030. Additionally, the industry is seeing a growing trend toward reshoring and nearshoring, where critical phases of production are brought back home or to nearby regions.
This shift underscores the urgent need for innovative solutions within the sector, with startups playing a pivotal role in spearheading this transformation. Among them is Ephos, a startup that recently made headlines by securing €8.5 million ($9.1 million) in a seed round led by Starlight Ventures and announcing the creation of the world’s first facility dedicated to designing and producing glass-based quantum photonic chips in Milan.
While silicon has long been the dominant material in both semiconductor and photonics applications, it has inherent limitations, particularly in quantum computing. One of the key challenges in photonic computing—which utilizes photons (particles of light) instead of electrical signals—is the inefficiency of photon coupling. Silicon’s high refractive index mismatch leads to substantial signal loss when photons move between optical fibers and the chip. As systems scale up, this signal degradation becomes even more problematic, compromising performance.
In contrast, glass offers significant advantages. Its optical clarity and low photon absorption make it an ideal material for quantum photonics. With a more uniform refractive index, glass reduces optical coupling losses, enabling smoother transmission of photons between components such as optical fibers and integrated waveguides. This transition from silicon to glass boosts the efficiency of photonic computing, leading to better overall performance and lower energy consumption.
It comes as no surprise that this innovative approach has captured NATO's attention. Indeed, quantum technology, especially when combined with artificial intelligence, is regarded as one of the most strategic fields for future military and security applications. The potential to process cryptographic information in near real-time and create communication systems impervious to interception are just some of the military capabilities that quantum photonics could unlock.
Obviously, despite these promising developments, the company faces challenges common to emerging technologies as high production costs and the need for specialized expertise. Moreover, regulatory approval and industry adoption will also be key factors in determining the pace of Ephos’s market entry.
That said, according to the company, all of their chips will be produced in-house, with a supply chain relying solely on suppliers from the U.S. and the EU. This approach can ensure a secure and transparent supply chain and could make them particularly attractive to sensitive markets such as secure communications and encrypted quantum networks, where product integrity is paramount.
Looking ahead, the semiconductor market is poised for a strong recovery after a challenging 2023. The global market is projected to reach $681 billion in revenue by 2024, with long-term forecasts suggesting it could surpass $1 trillion by 2030 and potentially reach $2 trillion by 2032.
Thanks for being part of The Scenarionist!
We value your opinion! If you have specific feedback, advice, or anything interesting you'd like to share, please reach out to us at info@thescenarionist.org or connect with us on LinkedIn!